It’s sad when your happiness relies
so heavily on one man. You wait for him to communicate, to give you something
to go on. You’re looking for some reason to believe that the rest of your days
won’t be bleak and filled with loss. Hearing nothing is terrible, but hearing
the wrong thing is even worse. Yet still you wait, clinging to the hope that he
will tell you what you want, no, what you need to hear.
I’m talking of course about Nate
Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com.
I trust him and him alone. He takes
all of the polls, analyzes them and weights them according to accuracy, sample
size, polling methods, and any sort of lean, whether it’s Republican or
Democrat. Then he combines all the data, runs daily simulations, and posts the
chances for an Obama or a Romney win, both statewide and nationally.
I check his site constantly. How’s
it looking in Ohio ?
Are Obama’s chances still around 70%, or has he slipped? Are Virginia
and Colorado
light blue today, or have they turned pink overnight? How will he explain these
annoying Gallup
daily tracking polls that can’t possibly be right? Does he still believe that
Romney is experiencing a post-debate bounce? And please, please tell me that
the chances of an Electoral College tie are still below 1%, because I don’t
think I can’t take much more of this.
Because most likely, the people in
my life can’t take much more of me.
Wednesday morning one of my
students asked for an extension on her paper.
“Remind what it’s about again.”
“Umm,” she stammered, “the effects
of terrorism on trade in the Middle East . But
I’ve been trying to make it relevant, and with everything that’s going on…”
“You’re an undergrad,” I snapped.
“No paper that you write is going to be relevant. And using unfortunate, recent
events as a way to justify your procrastination is in really bad taste. I
expect the paper to be done by Friday.”
She gasped. “This Friday? But the
deadline isn’t until Monday.”
“For you it’s now Friday.”
And I didn’t even feel bad about
it.
Later that day Jack called me. I
was walking from my office to my car, and it was a cold, damp afternoon. I
hurried through campus as I answered the phone.
“How’s Monty?” Jack asked. No hello, no asking
me how I am. I tried not to take it
personally.
“I don’t know. He’s still sleeping
a lot, but he seems slightly better.”
“When’s he going back to work?”
“Probably next week.”
“Well, that’s good.”
Jack stopped talking just as I
reached my car. I unlocked it and struggled to enter
while holding this
morning’s travel mug and my bag of papers, and with my phone pressed against my
ear.
“Jack, is
there something else you need? I’m about to drive home.”
“Look, I’m
working on getting the money back to you.” He words came out in a rush of
nerves. This is why you don’t loan people money.
“Don’t
worry about it,” I said. “Monty’s not mad anymore. You can take your time.”
“Well,” he
said with a sigh. “Thanks. And hey, I have some good news.”
“What’s
that?”
“Jessie and
I are engaged.”
My keys,
which had been millimeters away from the ignition, slipped from my fingers and
dropped to the floor of my car.
“Are you
insane?” I demanded. “You’re not even divorced yet. You can’t be engaged.
That’s…it’s craziness. No. No. I forbid you.”
Jack
cleared his throat. “You forbid me? What, are you my mom now?”
“No. But
I’ve been living with your mother for well over a month, so perhaps she’s
rubbing off on me. You can’t do this Jack.”
He raised
his voice, which is something he never does. “You don’t have the right to tell
me that.”
“Oh yes I
do!” I yelled into the phone. “I have every right!”
“Because
you lent me money?”
I could
feel my jaw clench with tension. “I didn’t mean it like that. But you’re making
a mistake. Take some time. Think about Mikey. Think about yourself. Figure out
who you are before you rush into another marriage.”
“I know who
I am,” he said. “I just don’t know who you are right now.”
I couldn’t respond to that. It was
cold, and I wanted to drive home. I wanted to turn on the heat, and the radio. Maybe NPR would have
something about the campaign on. I reached down and fished for my keys. “I have
to go,” I said.
“Bye,” said Jack. And he hung up
with some definite aggression.
That night
at dinner I kept quiet. Monty actually came down and sat with us at the table,
and we all ate spaghetti and talked about our day.
Except for
me. I sat silently and stewed, until Natalie started talking politics.
“It looks
like Mitt Romney is going to win. Did you hear he’s ahead by seven points in
the Gallup
polls?”
I put my
fork down with a clang. “Mitt Romney is not
going to win.” I looked at her such hot hostility that I’m sort of surprised
she didn’t ignite into flames. “Only idiots care about what Gallup has to say. Besides, Obama is still
ahead in Ohio , and Romney needs Ohio to win. End of
story.”
“Well, I
saw on Morning Joe that Romney is
surging in the polls.” Natalie gave me a superior sort of look. “Isn’t MSNBC
the liberal channel? Why would they say that if it wasn’t true?”
“Mom, Joe
Scarborough used to be a Republican Congressman.” Monty coughed a little and
took a bite of spaghetti.
“Well, I
still don’t know why he would lie.”
I wanted to
throw my plate of spaghetti in her face. “Because it’s all about spin! He’s
spinning his side. That doesn’t make it true, or right! And the most
infuriating part is that the spin becomes the story, like the tale wagging the
dog. And shame on us all if we let that happen.”
“Why are
you yelling, Mommy?” Abby asked me this with the sort of patience only a
three-year-old could manage.
I exhaled
and lowered my voice. “Sorry, Honey. I guess I’m just not hungry.” I got up and
cleared my plate.
Monty met
me in the kitchen. “What’s with you?”
I spun on
him. “Your family is driving me crazy.” And I told him about my conversation
with Jack, and some of what went down with his mother while he was gone, and it
was all in a whispered rush. He squinted at me and tried to follow, but I don’t
know how much he really took in.
“Did you
actually tell Jack he was insane?”
“So what if
I did? He’s is.”
“Yeah,
but…” he shook his head. Then I heard Abby call from the kitchen.
“Daddy! You
said you’d eat with us. You need to finish your pasghetti!”
“Go,” I
said softly. And I went upstairs to watch MSNBC. In the evenings they actually
have decent commentators on.
Later,
after I put Noah to bed, I looked in on Abby. Monty had given her a bath,
played with her, and read her stories. Now they were both sound asleep in her
bed, the last storybook having fallen from his hands and off to the side.
I went
downstairs to grade student papers, but I kept my computer on. Every so often I
checked RealClearPolitics.com or more importantly, FiveThirtyEight.com. Nate
Silver had been doing his updates late at night this week.
An hour or
two had passed when Monty came down to find me.
I looked up
from my computer. “I thought you were out for the night.”
“No.” He
sat down next to me at the table which was now set up as a desk. “Grading
papers?”
“Yeah.” I
pressed refresh on my computer. Still no update.
“When do
you think you’ll come to bed?”
“I don’t
know.” I kept my eyes on the computer screen and away from him. “I’d like to
wait for Nate Silver to do his update.”
“When will
that be?”
“I don’t
know.”
“Sweetheart.”
Monty scooted his chair in closer to me. “Can’t you wait until tomorrow to see the
update?”
I looked up
at him. He had concern all over his face. “Is now the part when you’re going to
tell me that I’m too obsessed, and I’m being difficult, and that I should calm
down?”
Monty
scratched the side of his head, right above his ear. His dark hair was still
too long, but he must have shaved today. “I wasn’t going to say that.”
“Well,
good. Because if Romney wins, I won’t be able to just tune it out. The media
will tell this story, they’ll say that Obama made mistakes, and that all the
hope and change was misguided, and it will take years for history to remember
him right, if they ever do. It will be wrong, and unfair, and I’ll still have
to talk about it. It’s what I do, and I can’t just let it go.”
Monty
nodded. “I know.” Then he reached over and closed my laptop shut.
“Hey!” I
said.
“Talk to me
for a minute.” He grabbed the edges of my chair and pulled so that we were
facing each other.
“I just
told you what was on my mind. What else do you want?”
“I want my
wife back.” He cupped my cheek in his hand. “Sweetheart, you seem so unhappy.
Is just the election, or is there more?”
I met his
eyes. “It’s been a lousy two months.” I heaved a sigh, and my chest rose and
fell. We were both silent for a moment. It was time to confess. “I really missed you. I still miss you.”
He looked at me in this way of his, like he's the only person who has ever really seen me. His hand
travelled from my face down to the back of my neck, where he began to rub. “I
miss you too. So God damn much.” He leaned in and kissed my forehead. “I’ll
make it up to you, okay?”
I nodded
and looked down. He leaned in closer and gave me a gentle, lingering kiss on
the lips.
“Please
come to bed.”
It was futile to resist. I could barely remember how, but for him, I smiled. His eyes lit up.
We went
upstairs.
Okay. So
maybe Nate Silver isn’t the only man
who can make me happy.